Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2926
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2926 · MIA → DEN
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 36%
Wed 10/7 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
70%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
70%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
70%
Yes 70%
No 30%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 58% of the time recently
↓
MIA is quiet at that time
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.