Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2981 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2981 · MSY → BNA

departs 7:45 AM CT · arrives 9:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precip0.42 in

BNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2981 · MSY → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?