Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2983
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2983 · MSY → BNA
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 46%
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±1 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.