Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2983
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2983 · MSY → BNA
departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.03 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.