Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2983
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
WN 2983 · MSY → BNA
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from MSY are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 1.90 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.