Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3230 · BNA → DAL
departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±7 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at BNA that day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.35 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.