Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3236
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3236 · MCO → STL
departs 7:00 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.