Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 3472 · RSW → STL
departs 7:20 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.