Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3772
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 3772 · SMF → DAL
departs 5:25 PM PT · arrives 10:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.