Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4013 · HOU → MEM
departs 9:25 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
9am departures from HOU are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.47 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.