Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4323
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4323 · BWI → MSY
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.