Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 4402 · MCO → AUS

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4402 · MCO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?