Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4407 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 4407 · MDW → MCI

departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 3:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.30 in

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,767 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4407 · MDW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?