Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4466
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4466 · SDF → DAL
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 1:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at SDF that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
↓
SDF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.91 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.