Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4471
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4471 · AMA → DAL
departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
61%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
61%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.06 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.88 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.