tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4511 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

WN 4511 · SAN → TPA

departs 8:35 AM PT · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.