Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 4682 · VPS → DAL
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 6:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 37%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.62 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.