Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4758 · DEN → MCI
departs 8:40 PM MT · arrives 11:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 28%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.