Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4814 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 4814 · TUL → DAL

departs 5:35 AM CT · arrives 6:40 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TUL are usually not late

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.50 in

DAL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4814 · TUL → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?