Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 594 · BNA → MSY
departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 9:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.