Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 594 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

WN 594 · BNA → MSY

departs 7:45 AM CT · arrives 9:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip0.56 in

MSY (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 594 · BNA → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?