Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 649 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 649 · PIT → RSW

departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 3:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at RSW that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at PIT that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

RSW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 649 · PIT → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?