Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 738 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 738 · MCO → DAL

departs 7:50 AM ET · arrives 9:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

DAL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · MCO → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?