Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 738
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 738 · MCO → DAL
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.