Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 950 · AUS → HRL
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 9:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are often late
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.38 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 2.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.