Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 958 · BWI → HOU
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 66%
Mon 10/5 26%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.