Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 958 · BWI → HOU
departs 8:35 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 26%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.42 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.