Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YX 3422 · SDF → ORD
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 7:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to ORD?
-
On time or early
77%
-
15–30 min late
8%
-
30 min–1 hour late
8%
-
1–2 hours late
1%
-
Over 2 hours late
4%
-
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.