Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3449 · PIT → IAD
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 9:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 8%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from PIT are often late
↑
Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.