Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
YX 3468 · CLT → EWR
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 30%
Thu 10/8 35%
Fri 10/9 28%
Sat 10/10 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.