Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3565
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
YX 3565 · PIT → EWR
departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 18%
Sun 10/4 48%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.