tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3586 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YX 3586 · EWR → DTW

departs 6:17 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±4 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DTW?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.