Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3655
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3655 · PWM → EWR
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 23%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
26%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
26%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.