Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3683
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3683 · EWR → IND
departs 6:15 AM ET · arrives 8:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at IND that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IND at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.