Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3701
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3701 · BGR → EWR
departs 11:46 AM ET · arrives 1:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR
↓
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late
↓
BGR is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.44 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.