Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3708
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3708 · ILM → EWR
departs 1:03 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ILM that day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
Weather at each end
ILM (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.