Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3708
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 3708 · ILM → EWR
departs 1:03 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ILM that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ILM (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.19 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.