Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
YX 3710 · CMH → EWR
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 5%
Sun 10/4 55%
Mon 10/5 32%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
16%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 63% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.38 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.