Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 3710 · CMH → EWR
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at EWR that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.