Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4407
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 4407 · IND → DCA
departs 2:26 PM ET · arrives 4:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DCA?
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On time or early
75%
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15–30 min late
10%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.