Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 4416 · EYW → DCA
departs 12:18 PM ET · arrives 3:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to DCA?
-
On time or early
78%
-
15–30 min late
7%
-
30 min–1 hour late
7%
-
1–2 hours late
4%
-
Over 2 hours late
2%
-
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.