Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 4462 · LGA → CMH
departs 5:29 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 23%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.