Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4597
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YX 4597 · IND → ORD
departs 6:40 AM ET · arrives 7:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to ORD?
-
On time or early
85%
-
15–30 min late
5%
-
30 min–1 hour late
6%
-
1–2 hours late
1%
-
Over 2 hours late
2%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.