Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 4598 · LGA → DTW
departs 8:44 PM ET · arrives 10:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DTW?
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On time or early
37%
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15–30 min late
10%
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30 min–1 hour late
18%
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1–2 hours late
11%
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Over 2 hours late
7%
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Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.