Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4614
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 4614 · LGA → CHS
departs 9:10 AM ET · arrives 11:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from LGA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
CHS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.