Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5642 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YX 5642 · IND → LGA

departs 2:46 PM ET · arrives 4:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±8 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.7d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    19%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.