Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5681
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5681 · LGA → CMH
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 10:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 26%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.