tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5689 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

YX 5689 · BOS → DCA

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 5:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 90h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15 min–1 hour late
    11%
  3. Over 1 hour late
    8%
  4. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.