tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5734 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 5734 · LEX → DCA

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 3.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.