Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5775
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5775 · LGA → MEM
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 10:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MEM that day
↑
8pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.